Category: Markets and Macro

Market breadth indicators rarely line up in unison, but when they do, history suggests they can mark the start of powerful advances rather than late-stage blowoffs. A cluster of signals that technicians regard as unusually reliable is now pointing toward the kind of sustained upswing that can catch cautious investors flat-footed. I see a pattern…

Americans are not just noticing higher prices, they are starting to change how they shop, vote, and talk about the economy. The latest reporting on rising costs and political backlash shows a public that is increasingly unwilling to simply absorb each new increase. I see nine clear signals that impatience with inflation is hardening into…

Silver has quietly become one of the most dramatic stories in global markets in 2025, surging to record territory and forcing investors to rethink a metal long treated as gold’s unruly cousin. The “devil’s metal,” notorious for violent booms and busts, is suddenly being driven by a mix of tight supply, industrial hunger and speculative…

Federal Reserve rate cuts are reshaping the fixed-income landscape, changing both the risks and opportunities facing bondholders. For investors who rely on steady income, the shift from rising yields to a falling-rate environment can feel disorienting, but it also opens the door to capital gains and more attractive entry points in parts of the bond…

Retail investors in their twenties and thirties are no longer a sideshow in the stock market, they are a force that can move prices in both directions. As their trading habits shift from relentless dip-buying to more cautious or even bearish positioning, the same cohort that helped inflate valuations on the way up may now…

Federal Reserve governor Stephen Miran is arguing that the central bank should move quickly and aggressively to cut interest rates, warning that the current policy stance is too tight for an economy already losing momentum. His case hinges on the view that inflation is largely back under control while growth, hiring, and credit conditions are…

Black Friday is once again proving to be a stress test for the American consumer, and so far the numbers point to surprising strength rather than a pullback. Even as households juggle higher borrowing costs and lingering inflation, shoppers are still turning out for deals, reshaping how and where they spend rather than retreating from…

Across the country, anger over the cost of living is no longer a background hum, it is the dominant soundtrack of daily life. A growing number of strategists argue that the fury is not just about inflation in the abstract, but about a specific trap: households earning around $140,000 a year who feel too “rich”…

President Donald Trump is pitching his new tariff “dividend” as a simple way to turn trade policy into cash in voters’ pockets, but the backlash has been swift from economists, lawmakers and even some conservatives who usually cheer tax cuts. The promise of checks funded by tariffs collides with the reality that these levies are…

Kevin Hassett is no longer just a name on the long list of potential central bankers in Washington; he is openly signaling that he is prepared to take the gavel at the Federal Reserve if President Donald Trump calls. His public comments, combined with a flurry of reporting that casts him as the leading contender,…