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Morgan Stanley says it jumped the gun and now sees a 25bps Dec cut

Morgan Stanley’s shifting expectations around a December Federal Reserve move capture how fragile market conviction has become in the face of stubborn inflation and noisy labor data. After initially penciling in a year-end rate cut, the $1.3 trillion asset manager stepped back from that call when incoming numbers suggested the economy was not cooling as…

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USS Stockdale intercepts Russian ship near Venezuela as $3B lifeline ends

The interception of a sanctioned Russian tanker by the USS Stockdale near Venezuela has turned a slow-burning sanctions story into a visible test of sea power, energy leverage, and political resolve in the Caribbean. As Washington tightens the screws on fuel shipments that have been worth roughly 3 billion dollars to Nicolás Maduro’s government, the…

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Medvedev says EU using $105B frozen assets would be an act of war

Russia’s former president Dmitry Medvedev has escalated his rhetoric over Europe’s plan to tap frozen Russian assets, warning that using roughly $105 billion parked in Western financial systems would amount to an act of war. His threat turns a technical debate over sanctions and reconstruction funding into a direct confrontation over what counts as “casus…

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