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April 30, 2026
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Category: Markets and Macro

Karola G/Pexels
  • Markets and Macro

Economist warns the US may be headed for trouble

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago011 mins

The warning lights on the United States economy are no longer confined to obscure data tables. A growing chorus of economists now argues that the expansion is losing altitude, with slower hiring, stubborn inflation and weakening confidence all pointing in the same uneasy direction. The message is blunt: the US may be drifting toward trouble,…

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Image Credit: Federalreserve - Public domain/Wiki Commons
  • Markets and Macro

Trump Fed pick Miran may sway the next rate call

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago016 mins

Financial markets are no longer just gaming out the next move from the Federal Reserve, they are gaming out the next move from Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran. As President Donald Trump’s newest pick settles into his role, his push for faster and deeper rate cuts is turning him into a potential swing voice on…

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Image Credit: Office of the Governor of California - Public domain/Wiki Commons
  • Markets and Macro

Newsom’s spending drives California deeper into a deficit

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago014 mins

California’s budget is sliding back into the red, and the numbers are getting harder for Governor Gavin Newsom to explain away as a temporary rough patch. After years of ambitious spending and optimistic revenue forecasts, the state is now staring at a deepening deficit that reflects structural choices as much as economic headwinds. The question…

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Image by Freepik
  • Markets and Macro

AI and tech now echo 1999. Is the party over?

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago010 mins

AI and big tech are again setting records, and the mood in markets feels eerily familiar to anyone who remembers the late‑1990s internet frenzy. The question now is not whether artificial intelligence is transformative, but whether the current surge in spending, valuations and hiring can keep defying gravity or is already sowing the seeds of…

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Image Credit: U.S. Space Force image by Van Ha – Public domain/Wiki Commons
  • Markets and Macro

Jeff Bezos’ bleak U.S. outlook is playing out

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago011 mins

Jeff Bezos has been sounding the alarm about the U.S. economy for years, warning that a period of strain was coming for households and businesses that assumed the good times would roll on. That caution now looks less like billionaire pessimism and more like a blunt description of daily life for Americans squeezed by high…

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silverhousehd/Unsplash
  • Markets and Macro

What bitcoin and US Treasurys have in common right now

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago013 mins

Bitcoin and United States Treasurys are usually cast as opposites, one a volatile digital asset and the other the benchmark for safety in global markets. Right now, though, both are being driven by the same macro forces, from shifting expectations about Federal Reserve policy to investors’ search for protection against political and fiscal risk. I…

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Image Credit: The White House - Public domain/Wiki Commons
  • Markets and Macro

Scott Bessent’s inflation cure sparks skepticism

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago018 mins

Scott Bessent has spent months promising that he can tame stubborn prices without much pain, casting himself as the architect of a cleaner, faster path out of the inflation hangover. His latest prescription, unveiled just as holiday costs dominate kitchen-table conversations, has thrilled some Republicans and unnerved many economists who see more politics than math…

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Image by Freepik
  • Markets and Macro

Dotcom prophet warns a far bigger U.S. crisis is coming

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago010 mins

Warnings about a looming American downturn are no longer coming only from Wall Street strategists or central bank veterans. One of the most prominent voices from the original dotcom boom is now arguing that the United States is heading toward a far more severe reckoning, driven less by a single bubble and more by a…

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RDNE Stock project/Pexels
  • Markets and Macro

The ‘S&P 493’ paints a different U.S. economy

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago09 mins

The S&P 500’s record highs are being driven by a narrow group of mega-cap winners, while the rest of the index is flashing a far more subdued picture of corporate America. Strip out the largest technology and communications giants and the so‑called “S&P 493” looks more like an economy grinding forward than one in a…

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Image Credit: The White House – Public domain/Wiki Commons
  • Markets and Macro

Fox News cuts in as Trump declares it’s over

Grant Mercer5 months ago3 months ago016 mins

When Fox News cut away from one of Donald Trump’s live appearances to correct his claims in real time, it marked a striking moment in the long, complicated relationship between the president and the television networks that helped define his political rise. The image of a control room deciding to pull the plug as Trump…

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