Category: Markets and Macro

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the risk analyst and author best known for his “Black Swan” theory of unpredictable market events, told investors on February 23, 2026, to prepare for bankruptcies across parts of the software sector and a sharp increase in volatility. The warning, delivered at a Universa Investments event in Miami, comes as software shares…

JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon warned that he is seeing echoes of the period before the 2008 financial crisis, pointing to what he described as aggressive risk-taking by rival banks in the fast-growing private credit market. His comments arrive as major financial institutions expand lending outside traditional banking channels, and as the International…

A senior JPMorgan executive expressed disbelief that market participants and commentators are treating rising stress in private credit as a surprise, pointing to years of regulatory warnings that highlighted similar risks in adjacent markets. The reaction was described as coming during a closed-door industry panel, where the executive reportedly said the warning signs were hiding…

Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, is warning that U.S. inflation could hit 4% by the end of 2026, a level that would double the Federal Reserve’s target and reverse much of the progress made since the post-pandemic price surge. His argument rests on a collision of forces: tariffs that have…

Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker demanded an $8.7 billion tariff refund from the White House, turning a simmering legal dispute into a direct financial confrontation with the federal government. The demand targets duties collected under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or IEEPA, which a coalition of state attorneys general has challenged as unlawful. With private…

Russia’s small businesses, from neighborhood bakeries to beauty salons, are being squeezed by a sweeping package of tax changes and increases that have been discussed in the context of wartime fiscal pressure. The measures include a higher corporate profit tax and changes that expand when companies on simplified regimes must deal with VAT compliance. For…

McDonald’s is preparing to test a new beverage lineup across more than 500 U.S. restaurants, marking the chain’s most aggressive push yet into the fast-growing specialty drink category and a booming menu craze. The expanded test draws directly from lessons learned at CosMc’s, the company’s smaller beverage-focused concept, and will feature cold coffees, fruity refreshers,…

American parents are emerging as one of the most politically charged demographic groups ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, driven by deep partisan splits over what children should learn in school, who controls vaccine policy, and whether the country is doing enough to support families. Federal survey data and multiple institutional polls show that parents…

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Consumer Price Index report for January 2026, and the numbers at the grocery store are hard to ignore. The food index posted its sharpest monthly increase in three years, accelerating well beyond the pace recorded in December 2025 and catching many shoppers off guard just as broader inflation…

Wall Street suffered its sharpest single-day decline in a month on Monday after the White House announced a sweeping 10% temporary import surcharge on most goods entering the United States. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 821.91 points, or 1.7%, to close at 48,804.06, while the S&P 500 dropped 1% to 6,837.75 and the Nasdaq…